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Big Tech surges as investors bet on data-centre slowdown

Amazon, Apple and other tech giants rallied on Thursday after Democrats swept the midterms, reversing days of AI-cost selling. Investors bet potential curbs on new data-centre construction would protect the largest cloud companies while squeezing smaller rivals.

Amazon
Photo: Auledas / Wikimedia Commons / CC BY 4.0

The short version

  • Amazon, Apple, Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft are on course to add more than $750 billion in combined market value if the gains hold.
  • Shares of smaller players including Applied Digital and Iren plunged between 6% and 13% on fears curbs could derail debt-fueled expansion.
  • The tech giants planned to spend more than $740 billion this year on capacity, up from roughly $400 billion last year.
  • Rep. Yassamin Ansari called for a pause on advanced AI development, regulation of the industry and a ban on artificial superintelligence.
  • Democrats will hold leverage to restore enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies and reverse Medicaid cuts.

Why it matters: The gains reflect a sharp investor repricing: potential curbs on new data-centre construction could entrench the largest cloud companies while squeezing smaller, debt-funded rivals.

On this page
  1. The short version
  2. Why investors repriced the sector
  3. The political backdrop
  4. What the result means for healthcare
  5. Sources and further reading
  6. Frequently asked questions

Amazon, Apple and other tech giants rallied on Thursday after Democrats swept the midterms, reversing days of AI-cost selling.

Amazon shares surged 7.4% to a three-month high, while Alphabet, Meta Platforms and Microsoft rose, with gains ranging from 2% to 6.3%. Apple jumped nearly 7% to a record high. It had avoided Big Tech's massive AI spending but faces an AI-fueled surge in memory chip prices.

  • $750bn+Potential combined market value added
  • $740bnPlanned 2026 capacity spend
  • $400bnCapacity spend last year
  • $18.6bnMicrosoft cash flow

If their shares keep rising, the five companies could gain more than $750 billion in market value combined. Investors are reassessing the sector, and that potential increase is now in focus.

The rally erased several days of losses sparked by concerns about the AI boom's rising costs. Possible limits on new data-centre projects could strengthen tech giants' control of scarce computing power and ease pressure on strained cash flows, investors saw.

Analysis

Why investors repriced the sector

In Texas and elsewhere, Democrats who oppose data centres scored landslide midterm wins. The tech giants planned to spend more than $740 billion this year on capacity, up from roughly $400 billion last year. Microsoft stood apart from the other cloud giants, with $18.6 billion in cash flow.

Big Tech gains vs smaller AI infrastructure losses

Big Tech

Post-midterm gains

  • Amazon up 7.4% to three-month high
  • Apple up nearly 7% to record high
  • Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft up 2% to 6.3%

Smaller AI players

Post-midterm losses

  • Applied Digital down
  • Iren down
  • Falls of 6% to 13%

Fears that limits on data-centre projects might disrupt debt-funded growth plans sent shares of smaller companies, such as Applied Digital and Iren, down between 6% and 13%.

The biggest worry of ⁠the night for tech investors and the AI trade was around the state of Texas, where ~25%-30% of data-center gigawatts and capacity will ‌come from

Dan IvesSenior managing director and tech analyst at Yorkville Ives

Conceptually, post-election, there ​may be a bit of a slowdown or some bumps in the road for future data-centre build-out

Art HoganChief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth
Context

The political backdrop

The Independent reported that Democrats reclaimed the House and Senate in the midterm elections. Many AI data-centre proposals appeared on ballots in the November 3 election, and most Americans voted against them, the results showed.

  1. Before electionAI-cost selling

    Days of selling driven by fears over the AI boom's soaring costs.

  2. 3 NovMidterm results

    Democrats reclaim the House and Senate; many AI data-centre issues defeated at the ballot.

  3. ThursdayTech rally

    Amazon, Apple and other giants surge; smaller AI players plunge.

  4. One day afterAI-regulation calls

    Rep. Yassamin Ansari calls for a pause on advanced AI development.

One day after the sweep, Rep. Yassamin Ansari of Arizona called for a pause on advanced AI development, regulation of the industry and a ban on artificial superintelligence. Elon Musk shared her post and wrote: "It's a Brave New World."

Policy

What the result means for healthcare

Democrats' victories could affect Americans' insurance, prescription drug costs and coverage, health policy experts and former White House advisers said. If Democrats control the House and Senate, they can push to restore the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies and reverse cuts to Medicaid.

Millions faced premium bills two or three times higher when the enhanced ACA federal subsidies expired at the end of last year, and about 3 million people dropped coverage. ACA premiums are rising by double digits again for 2027. It's the second year in a row.

One of the dangers of big election victories is people get cocky and they overreach and they fail to deliver on what people actually care about

Ezekiel EmanuelSpecial adviser for health policy during the Obama administration

Before Tuesday's election, Trump said he would call himself "Mr. Veto" if Democrats gained control of Congress, but on Wednesday said he would "probably" get along with them.

What we know

  • Amazon, Apple, Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft are on course to add more than $750 billion in combined market value if gains hold.
  • Smaller players including Applied Digital and Iren plunged between 6% and 13%.
  • Democrats reclaimed the House and Senate in the midterm elections.

Still unclear

  • Whether the tech gains hold and the more than $750 billion in combined market value is actually added
  • How far data-centre construction curbs will go and at what pace build-out proceeds
  • Whether Democrats and Trump can agree on healthcare legislation, given his veto threat
  • The outcome of the Kansas governor's race, which remains too close to call

Ten states still lack the ACA's full Medicaid expansion. Georgia, Texas and Wisconsin elected Democratic governors on Tuesday, while the race in Kansas remains too close to call.

Investors will watch whether the more than $750 billion in combined market value holds and how far any data-centre construction curbs actually go. That will test the rally's durability.

Sources and further reading

  1. Democrats set sights on Elon Musk probe after midterm wins, but Pritzker draws a surprising line (opens in a new tab) Foxnews
  2. Laura Loomer announces podcast hiatus after social media meltdown in wake of Democrats’ midterms sweep (opens in a new tab) The Independent
  3. Could the AI bubble burst after Democrats’ midterms sweep? – The Latest (opens in a new tab) The Guardian
  4. Congresswoman calls for artificial superintelligence ban after Democrats' seismic midterm sweep (opens in a new tab) Tomshardware
  5. U.S. Democrats' midterm sweep fuels $750 billion Big Tech rally (opens in a new tab) The Hindu
  6. 5 healthcare fights Democrats could take on after midterms sweep (opens in a new tab) NBC News

This article was prepared by the GlobePrism editorial team from the public reporting linked above. How we report

Frequently asked questions

How much market value could the tech giants add?

If the gains hold, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Alphabet and Microsoft are on course to add more than $750 billion in combined market value.

How could the Democratic victory affect healthcare?

Democrats will hold leverage to restore the enhanced Affordable Care Act subsidies and reverse cuts to Medicaid. When the enhanced subsidies expired at the end of last year, millions saw premiums double or triple, forcing about 3 million people to drop coverage.